{
  "schema": 1,
  "updated": "2026-11-01T22:19:00-05:00",
  "mode": "preview",
  "electionDay": "2026-11-03",
  "firstPollClose": "2026-11-03T23:00:00Z",
  "banner": "",
  "senate": {
    "seats": 100,
    "current": { "D": 45, "I": 2, "R": 53 },
    "notUp": { "D": 32, "I": 2, "R": 31 },
    "notUpNote": "The two sitting independents, Angus King (ME) and Bernie Sanders (VT), caucus with Democrats and are counted with them. Neither is on the ballot.",
    "tieBreaker": "R",
    "tieBreakerNote": "Vice President JD Vance (R) breaks 50-50 ties, so Republicans keep control at 50 seats and Democrats need 51.",
    "ratingSource": { "name": "Cook Political Report", "date": "2026-10-30", "url": "https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings" },
    "projSource": { "name": "Poliwave poll projection", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://www.poliwave.com/us/senate" },
    "oddsSource": { "name": "Decision Desk HQ", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026" },
    "races": [
      { "id": "AK", "state": "Alaska", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Mary Peltola", "R": "Dan Sullivan" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 3.5, "odds": { "D": 60 }, "close": "12 AM", "closeSort": 360, "note": "Ranked-choice ballots; final count can take more than a week.", "result": null },
      { "id": "IA", "state": "Iowa", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Ernst retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Josh Turek", "R": "Ashley Hinson" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 0.6, "odds": { "R": 55 }, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "KS", "state": "Kansas", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Adam Hamilton", "R": "Roger Marshall" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 0.4, "odds": { "R": 53 }, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "ME", "state": "Maine", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Troy Jackson", "R": "Susan Collins" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 2.7, "odds": { "D": 62 }, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Ranked-choice voting applies if no one tops 50%.", "result": null },
      { "id": "MI", "state": "Michigan", "held": "D", "status": "Open (Peters retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Abdul El-Sayed", "R": "Mike Rogers" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 5.4, "odds": { "D": 73 }, "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "OH", "state": "Ohio (special)", "held": "R", "status": "Appointed incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Sherrod Brown", "R": "Jon Husted" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 3.4, "odds": { "D": 56 }, "close": "7:30 PM", "closeSort": 90, "note": "Special election for the last two years of JD Vance's term.", "result": null },
      { "id": "TX", "state": "Texas", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Cornyn lost primary)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "James Talarico", "R": "Ken Paxton" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "proj": 2.8, "odds": { "D": 59 }, "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "NE", "state": "Nebraska", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "I", "cands": { "I": "Dan Osborn", "R": "Pete Ricketts" }, "rating": "Lean R", "proj": 0.5, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Osborn is an independent with no Democrat on the ballot; he has not said which party he would caucus with.", "result": null },
      { "id": "SC", "state": "South Carolina", "held": "R", "status": "Appointed incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Annie Andrews", "R": "Darline Graham" }, "rating": "Lean R", "proj": -4.3, "odds": { "R": 62 }, "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "result": null },
      { "id": "MN", "state": "Minnesota", "held": "D", "status": "Open (Smith retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Peggy Flanagan", "R": "Michele Tafoya" }, "rating": "Lean D", "proj": 11.9, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "NH", "state": "New Hampshire", "held": "D", "status": "Open (Shaheen retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Chris Pappas", "R": "John E. Sununu" }, "rating": "Lean D", "proj": 7.0, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "GA", "state": "Georgia", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Jon Ossoff", "R": "Mike Collins" }, "rating": "Likely D", "proj": 9.0, "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Goes to a December 1 runoff if no one gets 50%.", "result": null },
      { "id": "NC", "state": "North Carolina", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Tillis retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Roy Cooper", "R": "Michael Whatley" }, "rating": "Likely D", "proj": 10.8, "close": "7:30 PM", "closeSort": 90, "result": null },
      { "id": "FL", "state": "Florida (special)", "held": "R", "status": "Appointed incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Angie Nixon", "R": "Ashley Moody" }, "rating": "Likely R", "proj": -8.7, "close": "7 PM / 8 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Special election for the last two years of Marco Rubio's term.", "result": null },
      { "id": "MS", "state": "Mississippi", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Scott Colom", "R": "Cindy Hyde-Smith" }, "rating": "Likely R", "proj": -5.9, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "AL", "state": "Alabama", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Tuberville running for governor)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Everett Wess", "R": "Barry Moore" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -16.1, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "AR", "state": "Arkansas", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Hallie Shoffner", "R": "Tom Cotton" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -16.8, "close": "8:30 PM", "closeSort": 150, "result": null },
      { "id": "ID", "state": "Idaho", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "I", "cands": { "I": "Todd Achilles", "R": "Jim Risch" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -9.3, "close": "10 PM / 11 PM", "closeSort": 240, "note": "No Democrat on the ballot; Achilles runs as an independent.", "result": null },
      { "id": "KY", "state": "Kentucky", "held": "R", "status": "Open (McConnell retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Charles Booker", "R": "Andy Barr" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -14.0, "close": "6 PM / 7 PM", "closeSort": 0, "result": null },
      { "id": "LA", "state": "Louisiana", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Cassidy lost primary)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Jamie Davis", "R": "Julia Letlow" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -9.8, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "MT", "state": "Montana", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Daines retiring)", "ch": "I", "cands": { "I": "Seth Bodnar", "D": "Alani Bankhead", "R": "Kurt Alme" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -8.1, "close": "10 PM", "closeSort": 240, "note": "Three-way race: independent Bodnar is the main challenger; Bankhead is the Democratic nominee.", "result": null },
      { "id": "OK", "state": "Oklahoma", "held": "R", "status": "Open (appointee not running)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas", "R": "Kevin Hern" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -20.0, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "SD", "state": "South Dakota", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "I", "cands": { "I": "Brian Bengs", "R": "Mike Rounds" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -9.8, "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "No Democrat on the ballot; Bengs runs as an independent.", "result": null },
      { "id": "TN", "state": "Tennessee", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Marquita Bradshaw", "R": "Bill Hagerty" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -18.7, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "WV", "state": "West Virginia", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Rachel Fetty Anderson", "R": "Shelley Moore Capito" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -29.1, "close": "7:30 PM", "closeSort": 90, "result": null },
      { "id": "WY", "state": "Wyoming", "held": "R", "status": "Open (Lummis retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "James Byrd", "R": "Harriet Hageman" }, "rating": "Solid R", "proj": -32.5, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "CO", "state": "Colorado", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "John Hickenlooper", "R": "Mark Baisley" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 19.5, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "DE", "state": "Delaware", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Chris Coons", "R": "Michael Katz" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 32.5, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "IL", "state": "Illinois", "held": "D", "status": "Open (Durbin retiring)", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Juliana Stratton", "R": "Don Tracy" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 18.2, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "MA", "state": "Massachusetts", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Ed Markey", "R": "John Deaton" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 34.7, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "NJ", "state": "New Jersey", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Cory Booker", "R": "Justin Murphy" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 26.1, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "NM", "state": "New Mexico", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Ben Ray Luján", "R": "Larry Marker" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 20.5, "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "result": null },
      { "id": "OR", "state": "Oregon", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Jeff Merkley", "R": "David Brock Smith" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 22.2, "close": "10 PM / 11 PM", "closeSort": 240, "result": null },
      { "id": "RI", "state": "Rhode Island", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Jack Reed", "R": "Raymond McKay" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 27.2, "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "result": null },
      { "id": "VA", "state": "Virginia", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "ch": "D", "cands": { "D": "Mark Warner", "R": "Bert Mizusawa" }, "rating": "Solid D", "proj": 23.4, "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "result": null }
    ]
  },
  "house": {
    "seats": 435,
    "current": { "D": 214, "R": 218, "I": 1, "vacant": 2 },
    "currentNote": "The independent is Kevin Kiley of California, elected as a Republican. Vacant: TX-23 (last held by a Republican) and FL-20 (last held by a Democrat).",
    "last": { "D": 215, "R": 220, "label": "2024 result" },
    "rating": { "name": "Cook Political Report", "date": "2026-10-30", "url": "https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings", "D": 222, "toss": 18, "R": 195, "gain": "12 to 25 seats for Democrats" },
    "live": null
  },
  "governors": {
    "seats": 50,
    "current": { "D": 24, "R": 26, "src": "https://governors.rutgers.edu/fast-facts-about-americas-governors/" },
    "ratingSource": { "name": "Cook Political Report", "date": "2026-10-29", "url": "https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings" },
    "races": [
      { "id": "AL", "state": "Alabama", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Kay Ivey", "cands": { "D": "Doug Jones", "R": "Tommy Tuberville" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Kay Ivey is term-limited.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Alabama_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "AK", "state": "Alaska", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Mike Dunleavy", "cands": { "D": "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins", "R": "Bernadette Wilson", "R2": "Dave Bronson", "R3": "Treg Taylor" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "12 AM", "closeSort": 360, "note": "Gov. Mike Dunleavy is term-limited; this top-four ranked-choice race has three Republicans (listed by Aug. 18 primary vote), and if no one tops 50% the ranked-choice tabulation is set for Nov. 18.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Alaska_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "AZ", "state": "Arizona", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Katie Hobbs", "cands": { "D": "Katie Hobbs", "R": "Andy Biggs" }, "rating": "Likely D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Katie Hobbs is seeking a second term; No Labels and Green Party nominees are also on the ballot.", "src": "https://tucson.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/article_2f0e49a5-8bcc-4a12-95f6-a32b8a68a69a.html", "result": null },
      { "id": "AR", "state": "Arkansas", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", "cands": { "D": "Fred Love", "R": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", "I": "Colt Shelby" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "8:30 PM", "closeSort": 150, "labels": { "I": "L" }, "note": "Colt Shelby is the Libertarian nominee and polled 11% in the Oct. 8-13 Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Arkansas_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA", "state": "California", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Gavin Newsom", "cands": { "D": "Xavier Becerra", "R": "Steve Hilton" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "11 PM", "closeSort": 300, "note": "Gov. Gavin Newsom is term-limited; the June 2 top-two primary advanced one Democrat and one Republican.", "src": "https://abc7news.com/live-updates/election-2026-updates-latest-race-california-governor-nancy-pelosis-seat-how-vote-june-2-primary/19187694/entry/19226822/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO", "state": "Colorado", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Jared Polis", "cands": { "D": "Phil Weiser", "R": "Victor Marx" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Jared Polis is term-limited.", "src": "https://www.kunc.org/politics/2026-07-09/victor-marx-wins-gop-nod-for-governor-will-face-democrat-phil-weiser-in-november", "result": null },
      { "id": "CT", "state": "Connecticut", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Ned Lamont", "cands": { "D": "Ned Lamont", "R": "Ryan Fazio" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Ned Lamont is seeking a third term; he also appears on the Working Families line and Fazio on the Independent Party line.", "src": "https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/sots/electionservices/town_ballots/2026/nov-2026/north-branford_sample.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "FL", "state": "Florida", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Ron DeSantis", "cands": { "D": "David Jolly", "R": "Byron Donalds" }, "rating": "Lean R", "close": "7 PM / 8 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited; most polls close at 7 PM ET and the Central-time Panhandle at 8 PM ET.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Florida_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "GA", "state": "Georgia", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Brian Kemp", "cands": { "D": "Keisha Lance Bottoms", "R": "Rick Jackson" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Gov. Brian Kemp is term-limited; Georgia requires a majority to win statewide, and no Libertarian qualified for the ballot.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Georgia_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "HI", "state": "Hawaii", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Josh Green", "cands": { "D": "Josh Green", "R": "Gary Cordery" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "12 AM", "closeSort": 360, "note": "Gov. Josh Green is seeking a second term.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "ID", "state": "Idaho", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Brad Little", "cands": { "D": "Terri Pickens", "R": "Brad Little", "I": "John Stegner" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "10 PM / 11 PM", "closeSort": 240, "note": "Gov. Brad Little is seeking a third term; independent John Stegner, a former Idaho Supreme Court justice, polled 10-13% in surveys from July to October.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Idaho_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "IL", "state": "Illinois", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "JB Pritzker", "cands": { "D": "JB Pritzker", "R": "Darren Bailey" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. JB Pritzker is seeking a third term.", "src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Illinois_gubernatorial_election", "result": null },
      { "id": "IA", "state": "Iowa", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Kim Reynolds", "cands": { "D": "Rob Sand", "R": "Zach Lahn" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Kim Reynolds is not seeking re-election.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/12/rob-sand-d-zach-lahn-r-and-nicholas-gluba-l-are-running-in-the-general-election-for-governor-of-iowa-on-november-3-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "KS", "state": "Kansas", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Laura Kelly", "cands": { "D": "Cindy Holscher", "R": "Ty Masterson" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Laura Kelly is term-limited; most Kansas polls close at 8 PM ET, with some open until 9 PM ET.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/08/19/holscher-and-masterson-to-face-off-for-one-of-five-democratic-held-governorships-up-for-election-this-year-in-a-state-donald-trump-win-in-2024/", "result": null },
      { "id": "ME", "state": "Maine", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Janet Mills", "cands": { "D": "Hannah Pingree", "R": "Bobby Charles" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Maine's ranked-choice voting does not apply to general elections for state offices, including governor; independent Rick Bennett is also on the ballot.", "src": "https://www.bangordailynews.com/2026/10/01/news/maine-election-governor-2026-hannah-pingree-bobby-charles-aarp-poll/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MD", "state": "Maryland", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Wes Moore", "cands": { "D": "Wes Moore", "R": "Dan Cox" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "src": "https://www.fox5dc.com/election/dan-cox-wins-maryland-republican-governor-primary-ap-projects", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA", "state": "Massachusetts", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Maura Healey", "cands": { "D": "Maura Healey", "R": "Mike Minogue" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "src": "https://www.wgbh.org/news/politics/2026-09-01/minogue-wins-gop-governors-primary-ap-projects", "result": null },
      { "id": "MI", "state": "Michigan", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Gretchen Whitmer", "cands": { "D": "Jocelyn Benson", "R": "John James" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited; most Michigan polls close at 8 PM ET, with the Central Time portion closing at 9 PM ET.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/08/18/benson-james-among-six-candidates-running-to-succeed-term-limited-whitmer-as-michigan-governor/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MN", "state": "Minnesota", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Tim Walz", "cands": { "D": "Amy Klobuchar", "R": "Lisa Demuth" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Tim Walz dropped his bid for a third term in January 2026; Klobuchar is the Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) nominee.", "src": "https://www.kaxe.org/2026-09-28/governor-demuth-klobuchar-young-mn-2026-election-guide", "result": null },
      { "id": "NE", "state": "Nebraska", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Jim Pillen", "cands": { "D": "Lynne Walz", "R": "Jim Pillen" }, "rating": "Lean R", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Polls in Nebraska's Central and Mountain time zones close simultaneously at 9 PM ET.", "src": "https://newsweek.com/governor-races-shift-toward-democrats-in-states-trump-won-by-double-digits-12627211", "result": null },
      { "id": "NV", "state": "Nevada", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Joe Lombardo", "cands": { "D": "Aaron Ford", "R": "Joe Lombardo" }, "rating": "Toss Up", "close": "10 PM", "closeSort": 240, "note": "Nonpartisan candidate Danielle Ford, no relation to Aaron Ford, is also on the ballot.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/26/gov-joe-lombardo-r-is-running-for-re-election-in-a-state-trump-won-by-3-in-2024/", "result": null },
      { "id": "NH", "state": "New Hampshire", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Kelly Ayotte", "cands": { "D": "Cinde Warmington", "R": "Kelly Ayotte" }, "rating": "Likely R", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Most New Hampshire polling places close by 7 PM ET, with some cities open until 8 PM ET.", "src": "https://www.wcax.com/2026/10/07/campaign-countdown-candidates-nh-governor/", "result": null },
      { "id": "NM", "state": "New Mexico", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Michelle Lujan Grisham", "cands": { "D": "Deb Haaland", "R": "Gregg Hull" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited.", "src": "https://www.abqjournal.com/news/haaland-wins-democratic-nomination-will-face-gop-winner-hull-in-november/3055439", "result": null },
      { "id": "NY", "state": "New York", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Kathy Hochul", "cands": { "D": "Kathy Hochul", "R": "Bruce Blakeman" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "src": "https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2026/10/new-siena-poll-has-hochul-14-points-over-blakeman-days-election/416857/", "result": null },
      { "id": "OH", "state": "Ohio", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Mike DeWine", "cands": { "D": "Amy Acton", "R": "Vivek Ramaswamy" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "7:30 PM", "closeSort": 90, "note": "Gov. Mike DeWine is term-limited.", "src": "https://boe.woodcountyohio.gov/DocumentCenter/View/1006/Candidate-List", "result": null },
      { "id": "OK", "state": "Oklahoma", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Kevin Stitt", "cands": { "D": "Cyndi Munson", "R": "Mike Mazzei" }, "rating": "Likely R", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Kevin Stitt is term-limited.", "src": "https://okcfox.com/news/local/mazzei-emerges-from-primary-runoff-as-republican-nominee-will-face-munson-in-november", "result": null },
      { "id": "OR", "state": "Oregon", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Tina Kotek", "cands": { "D": "Tina Kotek", "R": "Christine Drazan" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "10 PM / 11 PM", "closeSort": 240, "note": "Gov. Tina Kotek is seeking reelection.", "src": "https://opb.org/article/2026/09/15/oregon-governors-race-tina-kotek-christine-drazan-poll", "result": null },
      { "id": "PA", "state": "Pennsylvania", "held": "D", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Josh Shapiro", "cands": { "D": "Josh Shapiro", "R": "Stacy Garrity" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Josh Shapiro is seeking reelection; Garrity is the state treasurer.", "src": "https://whyy.org/articles/election-2026-pennsylvania-governor-voter-guide-shapiro-garrity/", "result": null },
      { "id": "RI", "state": "Rhode Island", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Dan McKee", "cands": { "D": "Helena Foulkes", "R": "Aaron Guckian", "I": "Ken Block" }, "rating": "Solid D", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Dan McKee lost the Democratic primary to Helena Foulkes.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/governor-race/rhode-island-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "SC", "state": "South Carolina", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Henry McMaster", "cands": { "D": "Jermaine Johnson", "R": "Alan Wilson" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Gov. Henry McMaster is term-limited.", "src": "https://www.wistv.com/2026/06/24/south-carolina-governors-race-set-wilson-johnson-turn-general-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "SD", "state": "South Dakota", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Larry Rhoden", "cands": { "D": "Dan Ahlers", "R": "Larry Rhoden" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Larry Rhoden is seeking a full term.", "src": "https://www.kotatv.com/2026/07/31/gov-rhoden-wins-south-dakotas-first-ever-republican-gubernatorial-runoff-sets-up-november-showdown-with-ahlers/", "result": null },
      { "id": "TN", "state": "Tennessee", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Bill Lee", "cands": { "D": "Jerri Green", "R": "Marsha Blackburn" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "8 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Bill Lee is term-limited.", "src": "https://www.wsmv.com/2026/08/07/marsha-blackburn-wins-tennessee-gop-gubernatorial-primary/", "result": null },
      { "id": "TX", "state": "Texas", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Greg Abbott", "cands": { "D": "Gina Hinojosa", "R": "Greg Abbott" }, "rating": "Lean R", "close": "8 PM / 9 PM", "closeSort": 120, "note": "Gov. Greg Abbott is seeking a fourth term.", "src": "https://www.nbcdfw.com/news/politics/lone-star-politics/abbott-hinojosa-primary-election-result/3992807/", "result": null },
      { "id": "VT", "state": "Vermont", "held": "R", "status": "Incumbent", "inc": "Phil Scott", "cands": { "D": "Amanda Janoo", "R": "Phil Scott" }, "rating": "Likely R", "close": "7 PM", "closeSort": 60, "note": "Vermont governors serve two-year terms; Gov. Phil Scott (R) is seeking a sixth term.", "src": "https://vtdigger.org/2026/09/28/new-poll-shows-gov-phil-scott-leading-amanda-janoo-by-10-points/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WI", "state": "Wisconsin", "held": "D", "status": "Open", "inc": "Tony Evers", "cands": { "D": "David Crowley", "R": "Tom Tiffany" }, "rating": "Lean D", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Tony Evers is not seeking reelection.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/08/24/crowley-tiffany-run-in-wisconsin-governor-race-that-will-influence-trifecta-triplex-status/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WY", "state": "Wyoming", "held": "R", "status": "Open", "inc": "Mark Gordon", "cands": { "D": "Kenneth Casner", "R": "Eric Barlow" }, "rating": "Solid R", "close": "9 PM", "closeSort": 180, "note": "Gov. Mark Gordon is not seeking a third term.", "src": "https://www.kotatv.com/2026/08/19/barlow-wins-gop-nomination-wyoming-governor-defeating-trump-backed-rival/", "result": null }
    ]
  },
  "measures": {
    "total": { "count": 145, "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/" },
    "source": { "name": "Ballotpedia News, state election offices and local reporting", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/" },
    "items": [
      { "id": "AK-2", "state": "Alaska", "name": "Ballot Measure 2", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Repeals the top-four open primary and ranked-choice general elections, returning to party primaries, and repeals related campaign-finance disclosure rules.", "note": "A similar repeal measure was rejected 50.1%-49.9% in 2024.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/27/voters-will-determine-15-election-policy-ballot-measures-on-nov-3-2/", "result": null },
      { "id": "AK-3", "state": "Alaska", "name": "Ballot Measure 3", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Rewords state law to say that only U.S. citizens may vote in Alaska elections.", "note": "Noncitizen voting is already barred under current law.", "src": "https://thealaskacurrent.com/2026/09/01/everything-to-know-about-alaskas-2026-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "AZ-142", "state": "Arizona", "name": "Proposition 142", "topic": "Civil rights and religion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Bars race- or ethnicity-based preferential treatment by government entities and public schools, including requiring people to endorse such treatment.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "AZ-144", "state": "Arizona", "name": "Proposition 144", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds voter ID requirements for all methods of voting, including by mail, to the state constitution and states that only citizens may register and vote.", "src": "https://ktar.com/arizona-politics-news/election/propositions-ballot-measure-voting-guide", "result": null },
      { "id": "AZ-318", "state": "Arizona", "name": "Proposition 318", "topic": "School sports and gender", "type": "Referred statute", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires school sports teams to be designated by biological sex and limits restroom, locker room, and shower use to a person's sex.", "src": "https://ktar.com/arizona-politics-news/election/propositions-ballot-measure-voting-guide", "result": null },
      { "id": "AR-1", "state": "Arkansas", "name": "Issue 1", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds to the state constitution that only U.S. citizens may vote in state and local elections.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/27/voters-will-determine-15-election-policy-ballot-measures-on-nov-3-2/", "result": null },
      { "id": "AR-2", "state": "Arkansas", "name": "Issue 2", "topic": "Guns and hunting", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Declares in the state constitution that the right to keep and bear arms is a fundamental individual right that shall not be infringed.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-3", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 3", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Makes permanent the income tax increase on high earners in place since 2012, which is set to expire in 2031, to fund schools and health care.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-5", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 5", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Removes the replacement-candidate question from recall elections for statewide officers; vacancies would be filled by special election or appointment.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-37", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 37", "topic": "Housing and development", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Creates a state home-buying assistance program for middle-income buyers of qualified new homes, funded by up to $25 billion in revenue bonds.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-38", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 38", "topic": "Health and education", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Authorizes $8.4 billion in state bonds for immunology and immunotherapy research.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-39", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 39", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires government-issued ID to vote in person and the last four digits of an ID number on mail ballot envelopes.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-40", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 40", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Imposes a one-time tax on billionaires equal to 5% of their wealth to fund health care, education, and food assistance.", "note": "Constitutional amendment and statute combined.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-41", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 41", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires State Auditor reviews of programs funded by special taxes, including before initiative tax proposals reach the ballot, and may bar excluding new special-tax spending from the state spending limit.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-42", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 42", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Bars new state taxes on the ownership of financial assets or other personal property and limits certain retroactive state taxes.", "note": "Competes with Proposition 40; it says it would prevail over competing measures that receive fewer votes.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-43", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 43", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires two-thirds voter approval for certain local government taxes that can now pass by majority vote.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-44", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 44", "topic": "Health and education", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires certain nonprofit community health clinics to spend at least 90% of their revenue on health care services.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CA-45", "state": "California", "name": "Proposition 45", "topic": "Housing and development", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Changes environmental review (CEQA) for certain projects, including most housing, transportation, water, and health projects, with shorter time limits and narrower court review.", "src": "https://vig.cdn.sos.ca.gov/2026/general/pdf/complete-vig.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-81", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 81", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires state and local law enforcement to notify U.S. Homeland Security within 72 hours when people charged with certain crimes are not lawfully in the U.S.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-82", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 82", "topic": "Conservation and energy", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds a right to buy natural gas for cooking or heating, and for utilities to sell it, to the state constitution.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-83", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 83", "topic": "Guns and hunting", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds a right to hunt and fish, including by traditional methods, to the state constitution.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-84", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 84", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires mail voters to provide a signature and an ID number, such as a driver's license or Social Security number, checked against voter records.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-85", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 85", "topic": "Ballot-measure rules", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires ballot measure titles to use plain language at no higher than an eighth-grade reading level.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-86", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 86", "topic": "Redistricting", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires both the independent redistricting commission and the state Supreme Court to approve any mid-decade congressional map, and bars maps drawn to favor a party.", "threshold": "55%", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-87", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Amendment 87", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Replaces the flat income tax with a graduated tax of 3.7% to 8.4% and dedicates new revenue to K-12 education, health care, and child care.", "threshold": "55%", "note": "Competes with Proposition 136; if both pass, conflicting parts of the one with more votes take effect. Constitutional amendment and statute combined.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-132", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 132", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Raises penalties for fentanyl distribution, sale, and possession and requires court-ordered treatment for certain drug felonies.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-133", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 133", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires life in prison without parole for people convicted of trafficking a child for sexual servitude.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-134", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 134", "topic": "School sports and gender", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires students to play on school and college sports teams that match their biological sex (coed teams excepted).", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-135", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 135", "topic": "School sports and gender", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Bans surgeries to change sex characteristics for people under 18 when done in response to gender identity, and bars public funds and insurance from paying for them.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-136", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 136", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Caps individual and corporate income tax rates at 4.4%.", "note": "Competes with Amendment 87.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "CO-137", "state": "Colorado", "name": "Proposition 137", "topic": "Conservation and energy", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Exempts sales tax revenue from sporting goods from TABOR refund limits and directs it to a new conservation and wildfire-prevention fund.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/09/14/colorado-voters-will-decide-on-14-ballot-measures-in-2026/", "result": null },
      { "id": "FL-3", "state": "Florida", "name": "Amendment 3", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Raises the homestead exemption from non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, lowers the yearly assessment-increase cap on non-homestead property from 10% to 5%, and limits what local property taxes can fund.", "threshold": "60%", "src": "https://www.nbcmiami.com/elections/these-are-the-florida-amendments-on-the-november-2026-ballot/3877785/", "result": null },
      { "id": "ID-1", "state": "Idaho", "name": "Proposition 1", "topic": "Abortion", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Creates a right to make reproductive decisions in state law, making abortion legal until fetal viability; the state could still regulate abortion after viability.", "note": "A statute, so the Legislature could later amend it.", "src": "https://www.acluidaho.org/news/whats-on-my-ballot-explaining-idahos-2026-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "ID-HJR4", "state": "Idaho", "name": "HJR 4", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Amends the constitution so only the Legislature, not citizen initiatives, can change laws on legalizing marijuana and other psychoactive substances.", "src": "https://www.acluidaho.org/news/whats-on-my-ballot-explaining-idahos-2026-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "IA-1", "state": "Iowa", "name": "Amendment 1", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires a two-thirds vote in each chamber of the Legislature to raise individual or corporate income tax rates.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/iowa-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "KS-CA", "state": "Kansas", "name": "Constitutional Amendment", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "States in the constitution that a person must be a U.S. citizen to vote in Kansas.", "note": "State law already requires citizenship to vote.", "src": "https://www.kctv5.com/2026/09/28/kansas-voter-guide-what-you-need-know-november-elections/", "result": null },
      { "id": "LA-4", "state": "Louisiana", "name": "Amendment 4", "topic": "Government and labor", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Limits a person to two terms as governor in their lifetime, so a former governor could not return after sitting out a term.", "src": "https://www.wafb.com/2026/10/14/louisiana-voters-face-10-constitutional-amendments-november-heres-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MD-3", "state": "Maryland", "name": "Question 3", "topic": "Redistricting", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "States that the constitution sets no criteria for congressional districts, applies its districting rules only to state legislative districts, and lets the legislature give the state Supreme Court original jurisdiction over congressional maps.", "src": "https://www.elections.maryland.gov/elections/2026/ballot_questions.html", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q1", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 1", "topic": "Government and labor", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Makes most records of the Legislature and the governor's office subject to the state Public Records Law.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q2", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 2", "topic": "Government and labor", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Gives employees of the Committee for Public Counsel Services, including public defenders, collective bargaining rights.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q3", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 3", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Replaces party primaries for state offices with a single primary open to all candidates, with the top two advancing, starting in 2028.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q4", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 4", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Allows eligible residents to register or update their address at the polls on Election Day.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q5", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 5", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Changes the formula for the state's annual tax revenue limit, basing it on prior-year collections and three-year average wage and salary growth.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q6", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 6", "topic": "Conservation and energy", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Creates a conservation fund paid for by a share of sales tax revenue from sporting goods, recreational vehicles, and golf courses.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q7", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 7", "topic": "Housing and development", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires cities and towns to allow single-family homes on lots of 5,000 square feet with public water and sewer and at least 50 feet of frontage.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q8", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 8", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Repeals the laws allowing retail recreational marijuana sales; possession of up to one ounce stays legal.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MA-Q9", "state": "Massachusetts", "name": "Question 9", "topic": "Guns and hunting", "type": "Veto referendum", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Keeps the state firearms law (House Bill 4885), including its rules on ghost guns, assault-style weapons, licensing, and extreme risk protection orders.", "no": "Repeals the law.", "note": "Veto referendum: Yes keeps the law, No repeals it.", "src": "https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/9-massachusetts-ballot-questions-explained-what-yes-or-no-vote-means/F6YSZLEQJ5B7ZEZSFBRUB7ZLOY/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MI-2", "state": "Michigan", "name": "Proposal 2026-2", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Bans campaign contributions from regulated electric and gas utilities and large government contractors, and extends campaign finance disclosure to more political communications, including online.", "src": "https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2026/10/23/here-are-the-proposals-on-michigans-november-2026-ballot/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MO-3", "state": "Missouri", "name": "Amendment 3", "topic": "Abortion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Repeals the abortion-rights amendment approved in 2024, bans abortion with exceptions including rape or incest up to 12 weeks, and bars gender transition procedures for minors.", "src": "https://sgfcitizen.org/government/elections/missouri-november-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MO-6", "state": "Missouri", "name": "Amendment 6", "topic": "Ballot-measure rules", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Writes protections for the initiative and referendum process into the constitution and requires an 80% vote in both legislative chambers to change voter-approved laws.", "src": "https://sgfcitizen.org/government/elections/missouri-november-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MO-A", "state": "Missouri", "name": "Proposition A", "topic": "Redistricting", "type": "Veto referendum", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Approves the congressional district map the legislature adopted in 2025.", "no": "Rejects the 2025 map.", "note": "Veto referendum: Yes keeps the map, No rejects it.", "src": "https://sgfcitizen.org/government/elections/missouri-november-ballot-measures/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MT-CI132", "state": "Montana", "name": "CI-132", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds a requirement to the state constitution that judicial elections stay nonpartisan.", "src": "https://montanafreepress.org/2026/10/13/ballot-initiatives-montana-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MT-CI133", "state": "Montana", "name": "CI-133", "topic": "Ballot-measure rules", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds the initiative and referendum power to the constitution's Declaration of Rights and sets process rules, such as a 90-day deadline for the state's legal review of proposed initiatives.", "src": "https://montanafreepress.org/2026/10/13/ballot-initiatives-montana-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "MT-I194", "state": "Montana", "name": "I-194", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Bars corporations and other 'artificial persons,' including nonprofits and trusts, from spending on candidates, ballot measures, or political parties.", "src": "https://montanafreepress.org/2026/10/13/ballot-initiatives-montana-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "NE-CA1", "state": "Nebraska", "name": "Constitutional Amendment 1", "topic": "Government and labor", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Raises the state legislative term limit from two to three consecutive four-year terms.", "src": "https://www.wowt.com/2026/10/12/nebraska-voters-decide-extending-state-senator-term-limits/", "result": null },
      { "id": "NE-440", "state": "Nebraska", "name": "Initiative Measure 440", "topic": "Gambling", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Amends the constitution to allow laws permitting online sports betting offered by licensed racetrack casino operators.", "src": "https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2026/2026%20Ballot%20Measures%20Pamphlet.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "NE-441", "state": "Nebraska", "name": "Initiative Measure 441", "topic": "Gambling", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Enacts laws allowing and regulating online sports betting offered by licensed racetrack casino operators or their platform providers.", "src": "https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2026/2026%20Ballot%20Measures%20Pamphlet.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "NE-442", "state": "Nebraska", "name": "Initiative Measure 442", "topic": "School sports and gender", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires schools and colleges to designate teams by biological sex and bars male students from female teams.", "note": "The Nebraska Supreme Court ruled 7-0 on Oct. 16, 2026, that it stays on the ballot.", "src": "https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2026/2026%20Ballot%20Measures%20Pamphlet.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "NV-Q6", "state": "Nevada", "name": "Question 6", "topic": "Abortion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds a right to abortion until fetal viability, or later when needed to protect the pregnant person's life or health, to the state constitution.", "note": "Second of two required votes; it passed in 2024.", "src": "https://www.washoecounty.gov/voters/files/2026%20General%20Ballot%20Questions.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "NV-Q7", "state": "Nevada", "name": "Question 7", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Adds to the state constitution a requirement that in-person voters show photo ID and mail voters provide part of a driver's license or Social Security number.", "note": "Second of two required votes; it passed in 2024.", "src": "https://www.washoecounty.gov/voters/files/2026%20General%20Ballot%20Questions.pdf", "result": null },
      { "id": "NC-ID", "state": "North Carolina", "name": "Constitutional amendment (voter photo ID)", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires all voters, including those voting by mail, to show photo ID, in the state constitution.", "src": "https://www.wunc.org/politics/2026-09-22/explainer-nc-constitutional-amendments-2026-ballot-property-tax-voter-id", "result": null },
      { "id": "NC-INC", "state": "North Carolina", "name": "Constitutional amendment (income tax cap)", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Lowers the constitutional cap on the state income tax rate from 7% to 3.5%.", "src": "https://www.wunc.org/politics/2026-09-22/explainer-nc-constitutional-amendments-2026-ballot-property-tax-voter-id", "result": null },
      { "id": "NC-PROP", "state": "North Carolina", "name": "Constitutional amendment (property tax limits)", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires limits on how much local governments can raise property taxes, with the limit to be set by the legislature.", "src": "https://www.wunc.org/politics/2026-09-22/explainer-nc-constitutional-amendments-2026-ballot-property-tax-voter-id", "result": null },
      { "id": "ND-1", "state": "North Dakota", "name": "Constitutional Measure No. 1", "topic": "Ballot-measure rules", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires future constitutional amendments to receive at least 60% of the vote to pass.", "src": "https://www.valleynewslive.com/2026/10/15/north-dakota-voters-decide-two-constitutional-amendments-november-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "ND-2", "state": "North Dakota", "name": "Initiated Constitutional Measure No. 2", "topic": "Health and education", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires public schools to provide one free breakfast and one free lunch each school day to enrolled students, with state reimbursement.", "src": "https://www.valleynewslive.com/2026/10/15/north-dakota-voters-decide-two-constitutional-amendments-november-election/", "result": null },
      { "id": "OH-3", "state": "Ohio", "name": "Issue 3", "topic": "Voter ID", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds voter ID to the constitution: photo ID to vote in person, and photo ID or a signature plus another identifier to vote absentee.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/ohio-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "OK-847", "state": "Oklahoma", "name": "State Question 847", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Lowers the yearly cap on increases in taxable property value from 3% to 1.75% for homestead and farm property and from 5% to 4% for other real property.", "src": "https://okpolicy.org/state-question-847-changing-assessment-caps-for-property-tax/", "result": null },
      { "id": "SD-J", "state": "South Dakota", "name": "Constitutional Amendment J", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds to the state constitution that only U.S. citizens may vote in state and local elections.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/27/voters-will-determine-15-election-policy-ballot-measures-on-nov-3-2/", "result": null },
      { "id": "SD-L", "state": "South Dakota", "name": "Constitutional Amendment L", "topic": "Ballot-measure rules", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires future constitutional amendments to receive at least 60% of the vote to pass.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "TN-1", "state": "Tennessee", "name": "Amendment 1", "topic": "Crime, drugs and immigration", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Removes the constitutional right to bail for people charged with certain serious felonies when the proof is evident or the presumption great, leaving bail to judges.", "threshold": "a majority of the votes cast for governor", "src": "https://www.wkms.org/government-politics/2026-06-04/tennessee-voters-face-three-constitutional-questions-in-november-election", "result": null },
      { "id": "TN-2", "state": "Tennessee", "name": "Amendment 2", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Bars the state from levying a property tax; local property taxes are not affected.", "threshold": "a majority of the votes cast for governor", "note": "Tennessee has not had a state property tax in more than 75 years.", "src": "https://www.wkms.org/government-politics/2026-06-04/tennessee-voters-face-three-constitutional-questions-in-november-election", "result": null },
      { "id": "UT-B", "state": "Utah", "name": "Constitutional Amendment B", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Requires 60% voter approval for citizen initiatives that create new taxes, raise tax rates, or impose a property tax.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/utah-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "VT-3", "state": "Vermont", "name": "Proposal 3", "topic": "Government and labor", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds a right to organize or join a labor union and bargain collectively to the state constitution.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/vermont-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "VT-4", "state": "Vermont", "name": "Proposal 4", "topic": "Civil rights and religion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds to the constitution that rights cannot be denied based on race, ethnicity, sex, religion, disability, sexual orientation, gender identity, gender expression, or national origin.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/vermont-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "VA-1", "state": "Virginia", "name": "Question 1", "topic": "Abortion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds a right to reproductive freedom, including abortion, to the state constitution.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "VA-2", "state": "Virginia", "name": "Question 2", "topic": "Civil rights and religion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Removes the constitution's same-sex marriage ban and bars denying marriage licenses based on sex, gender, or race.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "VA-3", "state": "Virginia", "name": "Question 3", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Automatically restores voting rights to people with felony convictions when they are released from incarceration.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/27/voters-will-determine-15-election-policy-ballot-measures-on-nov-3-2/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WA-1", "state": "Washington", "name": "Initiative 1", "topic": "Health and education", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Repeals 2025 changes to the state's parents' rights law for public schools, restoring the 2024 version, including rights to review materials, get notifications, and opt out of sexual-health education.", "src": "https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/washington-general-election-2026-statewide-initiatives-ballot/GAA6SEW2TNCK7FGFSKOUNBAGUU/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WA-638", "state": "Washington", "name": "Initiative 638", "topic": "School sports and gender", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Requires students to verify their biological sex with a health care provider's documentation to compete in girls' school sports.", "src": "https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/washington-general-election-2026-statewide-initiatives-ballot/GAA6SEW2TNCK7FGFSKOUNBAGUU/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WA-645", "state": "Washington", "name": "Initiative 645", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Repeals the 9.9% tax on income over $1 million, set to take effect in 2028, and bars state and local taxes on income.", "src": "https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/washington-general-election-2026-statewide-initiatives-ballot/GAA6SEW2TNCK7FGFSKOUNBAGUU/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WV-1", "state": "West Virginia", "name": "Amendment 1", "topic": "Voting and elections", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Adds to the state constitution that only U.S. citizens may vote in West Virginia elections.", "src": "https://www.multistate.us/elections/results/west-virginia-2026", "result": null },
      { "id": "WI-2", "state": "Wisconsin", "name": "Question 2", "topic": "Civil rights and religion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Bars the government from closing places of worship or forbidding gatherings there during emergencies.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WI-3", "state": "Wisconsin", "name": "Question 3", "topic": "Civil rights and religion", "type": "Constitutional amendment", "origin": "Legislature", "yes": "Bars government discrimination or preferential treatment based on race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin.", "src": "https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/10/20/ballotpedias-top-50-ballot-measures-and-trends-to-watch-on-election-day/", "result": null },
      { "id": "WY-1", "state": "Wyoming", "name": "Proposed Initiative Proposition Number One", "topic": "Taxes", "type": "Initiated statute", "origin": "Citizen initiative", "yes": "Exempts 50% of the assessed value of a qualifying homeowner's primary residence from property tax.", "threshold": "a majority of all ballots cast", "src": "https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2026/2026_Statewide_Ballot_Propositions.pdf", "result": null }
    ]
  },
  "forecasts": [
    { "name": "Silver Bulletin", "kind": "Model", "date": "2026-10-30", "url": "https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model", "house": { "D": 95.1, "seatsD": 240 }, "senate": { "D": 79, "seatsD": 53 } },
    { "name": "Decision Desk HQ", "kind": "Model", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026", "house": { "D": 83, "seatsD": 241 }, "senate": { "D": 62, "seatsD": 52 } },
    { "name": "VoteHub", "kind": "Model", "date": "2026-10-30", "url": "https://www.newsweek.com/who-win-midterms-polls-3-days-12641376", "house": { "D": 89 }, "senate": { "D": 63 } },
    { "name": "Poliwave", "kind": "Model", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://www.poliwave.com/us/fed/projection", "house": { "D": 88, "seatsD": 230 }, "senate": { "D": 77, "R": 16, "seatsD": 52 }, "note": "Gives an 8% chance that independents decide Senate control." },
    { "name": "Midterm Forecast", "kind": "Model", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://midtermforecast.com/", "house": { "D": 91, "seatsD": 236 }, "senate": { "D": 74, "seatsD": 53 } },
    { "name": "Kalshi", "kind": "Market", "date": "2026-11-01", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbalancepowercombo/congress-balance-of-power-combo/kxbalancepowercombo-27feb", "house": { "D": 97 }, "senate": { "D": 71 }, "note": "Trader prices, not a poll model. House figure combines the two Democratic-House outcomes in Kalshi's balance-of-power market." }
  ],
  "earlyVote": {
    "total": 50793353,
    "mail": 23676886,
    "inPerson": 27116467,
    "statesReporting": 47,
    "asOf": "2026-11-01",
    "totalSource": {"name": "OnPoint Politics", "url": "https://onpointpolitics.us/maps/early-vote"},
    "alt": {"total": 51854602, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "source": {"name": "Call the Map", "url": "https://www.callthemap.com/early-vote"}},
    "sources": {"OP": {"name": "OnPoint Politics", "url": "https://onpointpolitics.us/maps/early-vote", "date": "2026-11-01"}, "CT": {"name": "Call the Map", "url": "https://www.callthemap.com/early-vote", "date": "2026-11-01"}},
    "notReported": "DC and Massachusetts publish counts the trackers don't include. Alabama and New Hampshire have no early in-person voting.",
    "states": [
      {"id": "TX", "state": "Texas", "ballots": 6857566, "mail": 255521, "inPerson": 6602045, "share2022": 84.1, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "note": "Call the Map counts 7.72 million through Oct 30; the two trackers differ here."},
      {"id": "CA", "state": "California", "ballots": 5504307, "mail": 5354920, "inPerson": 149387, "share2022": 49.4, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 12},
      {"id": "FL", "state": "Florida", "ballots": 5160438, "mail": 1898492, "inPerson": 3261946, "share2022": 66.2, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 8, "reg": {"D": 37.6, "R": 40.7}},
      {"id": "NC", "state": "North Carolina", "ballots": 2816820, "mail": 92396, "inPerson": 2724424, "share2022": 74.3, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 31, "reg": {"D": 38.4, "R": 26.2}},
      {"id": "GA", "state": "Georgia", "ballots": 2513648, "mail": 111365, "inPerson": 2402283, "share2022": 63.4, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP"},
      {"id": "WA", "state": "Washington", "ballots": 1696308, "mail": 1696308, "inPerson": 0, "share2022": 55.3, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP"},
      {"id": "OH", "state": "Ohio", "ballots": 1595217, "mail": 606235, "inPerson": 988982, "share2022": 38.0, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 23},
      {"id": "AZ", "state": "Arizona", "ballots": 1595938, "mail": 1595938, "inPerson": 0, "share2022": 61.6, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 6, "reg": {"D": 37.2, "R": 38.1}},
      {"id": "VA", "state": "Virginia", "ballots": 1630073, "mail": 319533, "inPerson": 1310540, "share2022": 53.9, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 78},
      {"id": "NY", "state": "New York", "ballots": 1474891, "mail": 0, "inPerson": 1474891, "share2022": 24.7, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP"},
      {"id": "MI", "state": "Michigan", "ballots": 1459825, "mail": 1459825, "inPerson": 0, "share2022": 32.4, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": -10},
      {"id": "CO", "state": "Colorado", "ballots": 1525971, "mail": 1502425, "inPerson": 23546, "share2022": 60.1, "asOf": "2026-11-01", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 14, "reg": {"D": 31.2, "R": 24.6}},
      {"id": "IL", "state": "Illinois", "ballots": 1392067, "mail": 619625, "inPerson": 772442, "share2022": 33.6, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP"},
      {"id": "TN", "state": "Tennessee", "ballots": 1280642, "mail": 0, "inPerson": 1280642, "share2022": 72.9, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP"},
      {"id": "WI", "state": "Wisconsin", "ballots": 1219584, "mail": 765200, "inPerson": 454384, "share2022": 45.6, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 76},
      {"id": "OR", "state": "Oregon", "ballots": 1181637, "mail": 1181637, "inPerson": 0, "share2022": 59.2, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "reg": {"D": 41.6, "R": 31.1}},
      {"id": "PA", "state": "Pennsylvania", "ballots": 1039622, "mail": 1039622, "inPerson": 0, "share2022": 19.2, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": -4, "reg": {"D": 64.7, "R": 25.3}},
      {"id": "SC", "state": "South Carolina", "ballots": 986460, "mail": 37868, "inPerson": 948592, "share2022": 57.4, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 61},
      {"id": "NJ", "state": "New Jersey", "ballots": 855440, "mail": 504844, "inPerson": 350596, "share2022": 32.3, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 18, "reg": {"D": 59.6, "R": 22.8}},
      {"id": "MN", "state": "Minnesota", "ballots": 728961, "mail": 245441, "inPerson": 483520, "share2022": 28.9, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "OP", "pace2022": 32},
      {"id": "AK", "state": "Alaska", "ballots": 86000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 30000, "inPerson": 57000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "AR", "state": "Arkansas", "ballots": 518000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 9100, "inPerson": 509000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "CT", "state": "Connecticut", "ballots": 50000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "DE", "state": "Delaware", "ballots": 138000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "HI", "state": "Hawaii", "ballots": 231000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 226000, "inPerson": 4400, "approx": true},
      {"id": "ID", "state": "Idaho", "ballots": 151000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "mail": 29000, "inPerson": 122000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "IN", "state": "Indiana", "ballots": 620000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "IA", "state": "Iowa", "ballots": 440000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "KS", "state": "Kansas", "ballots": 422000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 76000, "inPerson": 346000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "KY", "state": "Kentucky", "ballots": 328000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 47000, "inPerson": 281000, "pace2022": -3, "approx": true},
      {"id": "LA", "state": "Louisiana", "ballots": 531000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "mail": 82000, "inPerson": 449000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "ME", "state": "Maine", "ballots": 288072, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "mail": 129496, "inPerson": 160853, "pace2022": 43},
      {"id": "MD", "state": "Maryland", "ballots": 981363, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT"},
      {"id": "MS", "state": "Mississippi", "ballots": 56000, "asOf": "2026-10-25", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "MO", "state": "Missouri", "ballots": 55000, "asOf": "2026-10-24", "src": "CT", "mail": 4500, "inPerson": 50000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "MT", "state": "Montana", "ballots": 301000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "NE", "state": "Nebraska", "ballots": 215000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "mail": 175000, "inPerson": 41000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "NV", "state": "Nevada", "ballots": 251000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "approx": true, "src": "CT", "note": "Clark County mail ballots only."},
      {"id": "NM", "state": "New Mexico", "ballots": 378000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "mail": 66000, "inPerson": 312000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "ND", "state": "North Dakota", "ballots": 93000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "mail": 46000, "inPerson": 46000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "OK", "state": "Oklahoma", "ballots": 229000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "pace2022": 15, "approx": true},
      {"id": "RI", "state": "Rhode Island", "ballots": 117000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "mail": 25000, "inPerson": 92000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "SD", "state": "South Dakota", "ballots": 74000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "UT", "state": "Utah", "ballots": 487000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "mail": 474000, "inPerson": 13000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "VT", "state": "Vermont", "ballots": 147000, "asOf": "2026-10-31", "src": "CT", "approx": true},
      {"id": "WV", "state": "West Virginia", "ballots": 114000, "asOf": "2026-10-30", "src": "CT", "mail": 4500, "inPerson": 110000, "approx": true},
      {"id": "WY", "state": "Wyoming", "ballots": 58000, "asOf": "2026-10-29", "src": "CT", "approx": true}
    ]
  },
  "news": [
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "time": "7:30 PM ET", "text": "North Carolina's early voting ended with registered Democrats casting 343,548 more ballots than registered Republicans, 1,080,439 to 736,891, out of 2.82 million. At the same point in 2024, registered Republicans were ahead by 39,649. Unaffiliated voters cast 35%. Party registration isn't a vote for a candidate.", "source": "N.C. State Board of Elections", "url": "https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/absentee-and-provisional-data" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens, who lost the Democratic Senate primary to Abdul El-Sayed, endorsed Republican Mike Rogers in the race. Michigan's Democratic Party chair criticized the move, and some of her campaign staff reportedly quit.", "source": "The Guardian US", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/nov/01/abdul-el-sayed-haley-stevens-michigan-senate" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "time": "2:53 PM ET", "text": "The Justice Department appealed the dismissal of its Alaska Senate certification suit to the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. The Alaska Beacon reports the court may not act until after Election Day.", "source": "Alaska Beacon", "url": "https://alaskabeacon.com/2026/11/01/federal-judge-rejects-trump-administration-attempt-to-pause-alaskas-us-senate-election/" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "On Point Politics counts 50.6 million early ballots cast in 47 reporting states as of Nov. 1: 23.6 million mail ballots returned and 27.0 million cast in person.", "source": "On Point Politics", "url": "https://onpointpolitics.us/maps/early-vote" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "Decision Desk HQ's Senate forecast now gives Democrats a 62% chance of control, down from 63%, with a projected 52 Democratic seats. It puts Maine at 62% for Democrat Troy Jackson and Michigan at 73% for Democrat Abdul El-Sayed.", "source": "Decision Desk HQ", "url": "https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "time": "2:11 PM ET", "text": "U.S. District Judge Sharon Gleason dismissed the Justice Department's suit seeking to block certification of Alaska's Senate result if Sen. Dan Sullivan loses, finding the government lacked standing.", "source": "CBS News", "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/judge-doj-lawsuit-alaska-senate-race-dan-sullivan/" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "time": "6:56 AM ET", "text": "Early ballots reached about 53.1 million Sunday morning in a University of Florida count, roughly 29 million in person and 23 million by mail. At this point in 2022 the total was about 46 million.", "source": "Al Jazeera", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/1/more-than-50-million-votes-cast-in-us-midterm-elections-what-does-it-mean" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "More than 50.5 million Americans had voted early as of Saturday morning, according to a University of Florida analysis cited in weekend coverage.", "source": "The Women's Post", "url": "https://www.thewomenpost.com/p/more-than-50m-americans-cast-ballots" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "An Emerson College poll of Kansas had Democrat Adam Hamilton at 50% and Republican Roger Marshall at 47%, a narrower gap than the Washington Post–Schar School survey released Oct. 30.", "source": "Al Jazeera", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/1/us-midterms-2-days-to-go-what-polls-say-as-trump-el-sayed-hit-the-trail" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "Kalshi traders priced a Democratic sweep of both chambers at about 71% early Sunday, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate at 27%, and a Republican sweep at about 7%.", "source": "Kalshi", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbalancepowercombo/congress-balance-of-power-combo/kxbalancepowercombo-27feb" },
    { "date": "2026-11-01", "text": "Midterm Forecast's model raised the Democratic chance of Senate control to 73%. Poliwave's latest run projects independent Dan Osborn ahead by half a point in Nebraska, while its polling average still shows Republican Pete Ricketts up by about one.", "source": "Poliwave", "url": "https://www.poliwave.com/us/fed/projection" },
    { "date": "2026-10-31", "text": "A New York Times/Siena poll of Nebraska's Senate race had Republican Pete Ricketts at 49% and independent Dan Osborn at 43%.", "source": "RealClearPolling", "url": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/senate" },
    { "date": "2026-10-31", "text": "More than 43 million Americans had voted early by mail or in person five days before Election Day, about 10 million more than at the same point in 2022, according to an AP analysis.", "source": "Al Jazeera", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/31/us-midterms-3-days-to-go-what-latest-polls-say-as-early-voting-surges" },
    { "date": "2026-10-31", "text": "Decision Desk HQ's Ohio special election forecast moved to 56% for Democrat Sherrod Brown. Poliwave's model now gives Democrats a 77% chance of Senate control and 89% for the House.", "source": "Decision Desk HQ", "url": "https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate" },
    { "date": "2026-10-31", "text": "Decision Desk HQ's Senate forecast now gives Democrats a 63% chance of control. Its Kansas race narrowed to 53% for Republican Roger Marshall; it rates Maine Lean D at 61% for Democrat Troy Jackson.", "source": "Decision Desk HQ", "url": "https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate" }
  ]
}